Intel Stock Analysis - Value Perspective on $1 Trillion Semiconductor TAM by 2030

Intel Stock Analysis - Value Perspective on $1 Trillion Semiconductor TAM by 2030

Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.

6 месяцев назад

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@messed_loser
@messed_loser - 03.02.2024 01:39

INTEL (a real fab) is just making all of the fab-less, "quick buck" companies who are trying to act like they have a fab look stupid. as far as i've heard anytime a company makes big investments in the future, the stock goes down

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@TheIvyLens
@TheIvyLens - 31.01.2024 14:00

I remember when the stock hit 25 per share, I told myself, let me buy because the stock has been severity damaged but the company still has value. I talked my self out of it because I’m already heavy in tech, specifically semiconductor since pre pandemic with Broadcom, nvidia, ASML, and Qualcomm. And not it has rise too much 😒 I would have loved to have a US foundry play. I sold out of TSMC when buffet bought.

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@ozgurozturk481
@ozgurozturk481 - 30.01.2024 23:21

(ყურადღება) (თურქეთის საფონდო ბაზარზე) დაიცვას აქციების პროგრამული უზრუნველყოფა, ხელოვნური ინტელექტი და თავდაცვის კომპანია "ARDYZ ", რომელიც რჩება ძალიან იაფი შედარებით თანატოლებს სტამბულში საფონდო ბირჟაზე...არსებობს შეფასებები ,რომ" არდიზის " აქციებს შეუძლიათ დიდი მოგება მიიღონ გრძელვადიან პერსპექტივაში ხელოვნური ინტელექტის სფეროში განვითარებული მოვლენების შემდეგ.....,.

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@unktzor
@unktzor - 29.01.2024 23:35

Good video

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@Judycox56
@Judycox56 - 29.01.2024 20:05

Thank you for your reports. I can't put into words how much I appreciate you for the time and hard work you put into teaching others how to survive and protect their own families! Imagine I invested $2,000 and profited $9,700 in 5days with the help of Expert Carlye.🇺🇲🇺🇲

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@mihaidaniel8373
@mihaidaniel8373 - 28.01.2024 17:16

Sven,last year you said Intel at 40 is a better buy then Intel under 30. Are you saying that current price is not justified?

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@thierry-le-frippon
@thierry-le-frippon - 28.01.2024 11:45

GIVE US A BREAK WITH AI... GET YOURSELF A LIFE !!!!!

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@jimmyteo1587
@jimmyteo1587 - 28.01.2024 10:03

Not easy to forecast which company will be successful, an alternative choice is SOXX.

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@user-ml9ez9ui9m
@user-ml9ez9ui9m - 28.01.2024 08:51

TSMC'S 3NM / 2NM /1.4 NM will capture the majority of AI market in the next 5 years

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@user-ml9ez9ui9m
@user-ml9ez9ui9m - 28.01.2024 08:48

intel ceo is a liar, keep paying lip service

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@user-ml9ez9ui9m
@user-ml9ez9ui9m - 28.01.2024 06:54

Intel throw big money build up capacity, however if Intel is able to deliver chips at scale, then the unit production cost will be high, not competitive against AMD Nvidia product, then you will see Intel foundry end up being huge financial burden due to extremely high depreciation cost

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@d-sto687
@d-sto687 - 27.01.2024 21:59

The Index will Crash again. You can’t time it. At Intel the Western goverment Support Intel Hard. They get over 50 Billion usd…. But i think there some Value. Qualcom for example not so damn expensiv. Buy it for 100 usd.

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@phvaessen
@phvaessen - 27.01.2024 21:12

Thanks for the analysis of Intel - I was considering looking at intel as a potential investment, as the other semi's (AMD and Nvidia) are reporting that demand is above supply, which would mean a short term opportunity to invest in Intel. However, I don't like companies that are twisting their figures to look better, and reward themselves big dividends while in fact running losses. Based on your analysis I am reconsidering and ultimately rejecting the original idea of investing into Intel for the time being.

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@TheBann90
@TheBann90 - 27.01.2024 20:10

Congrats on the most retarded analysis ever.

1. Fab construction cost has gone up.

2. Wafer price has gone up.

3. The semi index is irrelevant as it takes 300nm fabs and chinese oversupply as well as taiwan geopolitics into consideration.

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@UmaDevi-ti2un
@UmaDevi-ti2un - 27.01.2024 12:47

😭😭😭😭😭😭😭

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@hansschmidt8292
@hansschmidt8292 - 27.01.2024 12:34

Great video, thank you!

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@sporefergieboy10
@sporefergieboy10 - 27.01.2024 10:34

AAAAAAAHHHHHHH WHERE DID ALL MY MONEY GO…

(I actually had >2000 shares lol I’m not kidding)

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@user-uy6dr4gv6k
@user-uy6dr4gv6k - 27.01.2024 10:07

consider doing a video on irobot that crashed 60 percent in the last month

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@davidcunningham2074
@davidcunningham2074 - 27.01.2024 08:32

but the pe of this stock is still an outrageous 109.

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@user-cf2px2ko8y
@user-cf2px2ko8y - 27.01.2024 05:07

Main factor is technology. Intel is years behind AMD and decades behind NVDA...

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@craighutchinson6856
@craighutchinson6856 - 27.01.2024 04:49

Intel is all about delay and canceling. Don't be fooled, they couldn't even take advantage of a good time thatslapped them in the face

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@TidusVen
@TidusVen - 27.01.2024 04:33

Thank you for the Analysis Sven! Thank you for warning about these accounting changes, I sold right after your first video on this topic. I am happy for it.

If you have time, can you check two potentially undervalued companies (PB and PE)? They are GigaCloud (Asia-->USA/EUR distributor) and Revlon Group (they produce ambulances, firetrucks and RVs).

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@helloken
@helloken - 27.01.2024 03:08

Hi Sven, excellent information as always, thank you for sharing your information and opinions with us.

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@danienishanov738
@danienishanov738 - 27.01.2024 03:06

BAIDU !!!

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@Mairou
@Mairou - 27.01.2024 02:08

Intel only one that is not relying heavily on Taiwan. Thats why I like it

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@Techaktien
@Techaktien - 27.01.2024 01:53

Interesting. Thank you

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@Philip8888888
@Philip8888888 - 27.01.2024 01:26

I'm heavily short INTC. I only wish I'd added to shorts before earnings!

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@jordankendall86
@jordankendall86 - 27.01.2024 00:31

Thanks for sharing about the stock based compensation. I do want to point out that the stock based compensation is reflected in net income and is added back on the cash flow statement to get to operating cash flow (has been the case since 2004). If this wasn't the case, then why do many tech companies provide adjusted EPS or EBITDA numbers that add back for stock based compensation? For Intel, although stock based compensation is higher than the past, the operating expenses are down too, but I don't know if that is because the company is choosing to provide more stock based compensation instead of higher salaries. It could be the company is trying to realign incentives to long-term performance, something I would expect them to do to improve competitiveness. I think that if you are doing a free cash flow analysis, then I would subtract stock based compensation as it is an expense even if it has no cash impact in the short-run. The stock based compensation will eventually impact cash as employees exercise their options.

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@Nabu994
@Nabu994 - 26.01.2024 23:32

Thanks alot for the explination.

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@jonnes__4657
@jonnes__4657 - 26.01.2024 22:35

🗽 Intel management is a bit too woke (follows the political hypes)... my feeling! They are like our government = elect us again and again, then we will make you happy... shh, but you will own nothing. ☝
.

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@michaelmead4306
@michaelmead4306 - 26.01.2024 21:48

And that’s why I follow this channel

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@slimjimjimslim5923
@slimjimjimslim5923 - 26.01.2024 20:42

Didn’t Sven call Intel a financial fraud company for depreciating their machine at a longer time period ??? Sven what changed your mind? Their financial ceo is still the same person.

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@960john
@960john - 26.01.2024 20:41

You started talking well about Intel 2 years ago, when it was at 44-49$. Better to say you were wrong. Same with Livent.. you said it was a buy, then it crashed 30%.. now you say better to read post-merger Arcadium Lithium earnigns report first, to be sure. 🤡

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@johnbrion4565
@johnbrion4565 - 26.01.2024 20:14

I bought at $40 and sold at $28 😢

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@johnt3093
@johnt3093 - 26.01.2024 20:03

Sven , you're a jinx . 10% down since posting video :)

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@1Akanan1
@1Akanan1 - 26.01.2024 19:49

it helps to make me feel less bad to have sold shy of 40$

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@shanesmith8546
@shanesmith8546 - 26.01.2024 18:49

Made my morning, thanks Sven!

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@peterbond7136
@peterbond7136 - 26.01.2024 18:46

Intel is the workhorse of the chip industry. Capital intensive and not innovative. Do you want to be a workhorse or innovative leader in the industry?

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@uguralpkosar
@uguralpkosar - 26.01.2024 18:25

sold the ones that I bought at 36$, remainders cost 27$. low risk in the long term I guess.

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@AlessandroAnderson
@AlessandroAnderson - 26.01.2024 18:21

Intel has got some benefits from states to build chip plants, because they are a strategic good. This is a plus for a very big company, it is solid, but their presentations and capitalization are overvalued.

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@Adamskyization
@Adamskyization - 26.01.2024 18:19

I actually want to buy s laptop now.. and looking on everything that don't have ontel processor on them, as they are so shitty. Thay said, I'm a bag holder at 50$ per share

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@googolexp
@googolexp - 26.01.2024 18:13

lol if Sven spent a bit of time listening to Jensen rather than Intel accountants maybe there'd be a course to sell

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@maltlickytexas
@maltlickytexas - 26.01.2024 18:11

I sold all my Intel shares about 2 years ago & used the funds to buy AMD & Nvidia. No regrets.😂

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@Antares-rt5ub
@Antares-rt5ub - 26.01.2024 18:07

Absolute dumpster fire company

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@PulverizerA
@PulverizerA - 26.01.2024 17:38

I got in back in 2019 and got out at my cost of $50 just a couple weeks ago and I'm content with that. I rolled the money into BABA, so hopefully that one pays off in the long run.
If HHH starts to target Israeli tech facilities, watch out.

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@lakatosjuraj
@lakatosjuraj - 26.01.2024 17:36

intel hasn't been the only one to expand capacity either. There chip market might become a whole lot more competitive.

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@davidyoung9443
@davidyoung9443 - 26.01.2024 17:34

I bought a small amount of Intel at $26 last year. I am going to hold and see. Now, I will tell you the main problem I have with AMD, Nvidia and somewhat Apple. They are completely dependent on one company to produce their chips. I have nothing against TSMC but the saying don't put all your eggs into one basket is going off like an alarm clock in my head. If TSMC was to say we are going to leverage their dominance and double, triple, or quadruple their pricing what will that do to these companies? And why not? What is the alternative? Food for thought. Would you like it scrambled or over easy.

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@Spura83
@Spura83 - 26.01.2024 17:30

Stay away from intel. It's a typical example of a firm which went from engineering focused to sales focused, happens a lot especially with monopolies (which it was for almost 20 years). Sooner or later talented engineers get tired of working on same rehashed shit year in year out, and they get tired of decisions being made by the sales department. So a lot them left for Apple, Microsoft etc... and once the engineering culture is gone, it's not easy to reverse course. That takes a decade to fix, at least. Bean counters have the solution though: take on debt to buy more shit. And they are charging the investors 3B a year for their genious. Hahaha. I'll look at intel in 10 years, if they're still around.

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@tzvassilev
@tzvassilev - 26.01.2024 17:30

Perfect - thank you!

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@boskojovanovic2770
@boskojovanovic2770 - 26.01.2024 17:12

With Intel you are flogging a dead horse. They are too far behind their competitors.

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