Moore's Law of Real Estate : Gunnar Branson at TEDxNaperville

This didn’t age well. He was wrong on many fronts.

verely

this guy looks like agent smith. and kind of sounds like him too.

I HAVE INCURRED SO MUCH LOSSES TRADING ON MY OWN...I TRADE WELL ON DEMO BUT I THINK THE REAL MARKET IS MANIPULATED... CAN ANYONE HELP ME OUT OR AT LEAST TELL ME WHAT I'M DOING WRONG ?

Interesting take! Great video

This one is different now with covid people don’t want to be in cities but in rural or suburbs.

For your own edification. Gutenberg had nothing to do with what you accredited him. He created a tool. Martin Luther took that tool and printed his words. His followers then caused the travesty that killed so many millions following.

Who is to blame? I guess this is a great metaphor to what's happenning in present to social media, political leaders and their followers.

+ the ridiculous property taxes

Sounds like studio unit or even more tiny one in Hong Kong

Until 2020

The talk was amazing but what was the point? How did his speaking benefit us? Please explain anyone!!

COVID: I'm about to end this man's whole career.

Wow. What a speech/presentation.

He wasn't wrong. California, since 2017, has required cities to allow second dwellings on residential lots in areas zoned for one dwelling per lot. Citizens did not vote on this. It is very good for some purposes and very bad for others. The good is obvious--rental income for owners and increased rental inventory for all. On the bad side is that it clobbers the value of single family zones for those who bought in such zones because they value low density. Buyers pay a premium for homes in single-family zones. That premium is paid again annually in property taxes that typically exact 1.3% of their property's value. $300K value - $3900/year. Low density is no longer guaranteed but no one's going to refund them or reduce their taxes.

This is gaslighting and salesmanship at its best. You need less space and you will be happy paying more. 🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️🤦‍♂️. No where are rents getting cheaper. 🤣🤣🤣

I wonder if the US/Mexico border is a desire line.🤔

It is greed that has created a selfish world when billions are suffering.

You forgot to mention you also selling the location.

And shows how much people are using (wasting) their lives staring at a screen and not actively doing anything.

When a man dies, it becomes dirt, and the earth becomes a land.
Again, new people live on the land, and when they die, they become dirt and earth.
In the meantime, people build buildings on the dirt and the earth, and buy and sell them, making them profitable.
In other words, people make such new offspring, die and become repetitive as the earth becomes the earth.
...thought...my poetry...

Anyone else get a real greedy / shyster vibe from this guy? LOL

I am convinced that 90% of the TEDx talks are a waste of time. Unfortunately.

His theory looks good on paper but it isnt true in the real world. Businesses and people are not moving to the compact upward building cities in the northeast. All of the boom cities in the US are in Texas and the southeast now. In those cities people build outward and take up as much space as possible. The city of the future is the exact opposite of NYC and looks more like Dallas or LA. One floor expansive buildings with large parking lots, less walkable streets, less public transport, and centered around driving from place to place. I know it isnt what you want to hear but that is what is growing.

This guy is a rentier. Makes money is his sleep. Don't listen to him. The solution is LVT (land value tax). Rising property values are really based off rising land values, not rising building values. As property becomes more valuable, the landlord pays more tax, incentivizing them to build up rather than allow their properties to dilapidate. In certain Pennsylvania cities, the ratio of LVT to property tax is 6:1, encouraging landlords to keep up the place rather than let it become a slum. In PA they can only go so far with LVT because their residents still have to pay the federal income tax. Anyway, check out legendary economist Michael Hudson's work on LVT.

He's just trying to sell tiny "holes" for a large amount of money.... based on the argument that digital memory exists.... ridiculous!
This new generation live in places like these because they don't still have kids or animals, as they do, they change.

That was difficult to watch.

A lot of talking for saying houses are going to get smaller

Well, screw you sir, I´m keeping my books! :-)

Bingo^ rooster. It's called agenda 21. Personal property will be little or none. Control is what it's for. The better term is enslavement . And we will be told property will be bad for the environment so for the best interest of the collective whole, we will be conditioned to accept our enslavement. This has been documented quite a bit. We are under immense propaganda. Turn off the tv.

Very basic. Pathetic: "Less space more life". What about analyzing the growth in population and the demand and the relation with the higher building expenses for many reasons: labor and security laws, minimum weight,etc.
More life but mainting a house doesn't require 8 daily hours of work but 16 hours. The standard of live is stupidly expensive having an appartmet and a car plus daily life expenses are imposible to handle without debt. Absurd. I love real estate but I don't sell this idea that I'm making a favor.
The square meter change not because the demand wanted something smaller hahahaha

Moore's law? Our phones having the capacity to run the Apollo space program? Sounds like Christian Genco.

The "Less Space More Living" philosophy that includes the Tiny House Movement will ultimately lead to humanity residing in their own bathtubs plugged into the Matrix.

maybe for the sheep. I move out in the country. 40 acres homestead. no big government to run my life

Some people want the peace and quiet of the suburbs not the noise, crime and pollution of overcrowded cities.

1. Cities are already too big to be fed from locally produced food. Eventually, food production will be forced to relocalize, and cities will get smaller. I think many people alive today will live to see this happen.

2. Books printed on low acid paper will endure for centuries. (Yes, I am aware that most 20th century books before the 1980's, and many during the 1980's, were not printed on low acid paper. I hope, God willing, to make back up copies of my older books before I die one day.) Some handwritten manuscripts are still around from more than a thousand years ago. I am not confident that today's electronic repositories will still be accessible hundreds of years from now.

3. Beware of extrapolating the future from recent trends. History is cyclical and trends are just the oscillations in the cycles. One powerful oscillation that started with the industrial revolution is getting rather long in the tooth so far as the positive phase of that oscillation goes. When it begins, the negative phase should be just as powerful.

thank you for desire lines

Spend 10 minutes defining a problem, spend the next 5 minutes providing a solution that is exactly the system we have that created you “supposed problem”. I guess it doesn’t include basic income. If you are for basic income are you also for flat tax, or are you for a graduated tax system? I am just so confused.

Don't waste your time here. Swipe and go find a real TED talk.

He mentioned the luxury apartment trend thing is most of the time these common areas are empty and never get used. I lived in a few and the movie room is always empty the lounge is always empty for the most part .

What does he know about what's coming that we don't ?.... Is he telling us that we will all be forced into cities against our will ? Their is talk of the government try to heard people to do just that. Move people off private land to large cities for control over the majority of land and people ?... Kinda odd how he keeps saying this is what we're all heading for ? Everyone I know wants out of the cities and want to own their own home and property.

An elaborate sales pitch for expensive rents...

Mr. Branson loves real estate and sharing how to anticipate the future. Explains desire lines then provides an example reading of demand with respect to space and configuration requirements for residential real estate. Formalizes recent apartment design trends in major urban sites and useful for anyone in the rental and real-estate business today.

Guy makes me feel like a used car salesmen is selling me something and as a person in real estate he is trying to sell his dream of the future but it is flawed. He seems like the type of guy you run from at a party.

Guy reminds me of a mix if Agent Smith and Steve Martin. If you are one of the mindless sheeple then what he is saying applies to you but I need a big shop for all my tools that are required for my life and creativity. I could live in a van down by the river but I need a shop for a productive and enjoyable life.

Awesome talk and animated performance!!

The"market price" of existing buildings should PLUMMET!!!!, as new high tech, graphene structural materials begin to saturate the construction processes, and enable the fabrication of dirt cheap super structures!!!....

For us it would be good if we could get rid of our stuff and still have more space... RE developers want us to live in boxes like the japanese. No thanks.

Stop apologising!!

real estate should be banned from ted talks^^
fact is that space consumption per person is constantly raising (in western societies), mostly because of the raising amount of single house holds. Second fact is, living becomes more and more unaffordable in cities. Both facts have to be somehow included when talking about real estate and housing...

less space yes I see your point, but more life...? nah, I don't think so
just because we dont need space to store books and records and CDs doesnt mean we have more life, it just means we need less storage space so we can live comfortably in a smaller apartment. HOWEVER how then do you explain the fact that HOUSES are getting bigger - the McMansion phenomenon??? sure we cook less but we want a kitchen AND a butlers kitchen, we spend less time at home but we want more toilets in our houses......??