The Easiest Problem Everyone Gets Wrong

the pudding at the ed looks like frozen orange juice

Changing your perspective is easy once you have a satisfying proof that your current perspective is wrong.

"I am about to strech my winkey until it snaps." "Stick my winkeys in pudding." "My winkey is talking to me." Bro what? 💀💀💀

he is dead

Kevin is training us for when he makes his own Squid Game

Why does Kevin sound like The Internet Historian?

"don't stretch me kevin" hmmm

Monty Hall has the added complexity that it's only true if Monty is completely impartial and always reveals a goat, indepently of the player's initial success or failure.
In a real situation, unless this was specifically guaranteed, people would be right to be suspicious of a bias towards offering a swap only if their initial choice was successful.

0️⃣🧍‍♀️🟣🔵🟠⚪️🌑1️⃣🌘🌎🌚🌚🌚🌓😵‍💫😵‍💫😵‍💫🌓💩🌚💩🌎🌚💩🌚🌚💩

而娃儿以前我认为特特特忐忐忑忑太热热热热胃疼胃疼胃疼胃疼胃疼特特特特特特他

🟠🔵🟣🧍‍♀️🧍‍♀️🧍‍♀️

This is just the Monty Hall problem, which is not a paradox, it's simply a counterintuitive fact.
That's just how statistics works.

Orange winkey is a menace and should never be messed with.

I don’t really like the way he explained this. It didn’t click with my brain and the way I think. After looking at it for myself I came to a logic that works for me and I will share it in case it works better for someone else. If you pull coin from the box with only gold coins there is 100% chance of getting a gold coin. If you pulled a coin from the box with one of each there was only a 50% chance of you getting a gold. You were just as likely to get a silver. So if you pull a gold coin it is more likely that you pulled it from the box with only gold coins than the box with a silver coin as well.

ikd why but with gold i all of a sudden get it

hey, I chose purple and I got correct, why are you saying that no one can get correct

I love how goofy yet serious these videos are

The Internet Historian: “Please tell me one of the Winkeys who will be executed…”
Kevin: BLUE WILL BE EXECUTED! RIGHT NOW!!!
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

"You might think its a 50/50" yeah. That makes sense. "WRONG" Should've known.

“my winkey is talking to me”

- Kevin, 2020

Wait Nintendo makes video games now, I thought they still made card games, this blows my winkeys.

Hmm, while it wasn't mu first assumption I can definetly understand how the statistics work. The coin option was easier for me to grasp than the prisoner one. I thought of it like this: There are 3 gold coins, compared to 1 silver coin, so the chances of it being another gold coin are higher than it being a silver coin. Even if it goes against common sense logic, if you change your thinking to math logic, it makes sense.

I find it easier to think about the 1st one this

The winkey kevin executes is completely useless information. There is 1/3 chance that orange winkey is chosen and 2/3 that its one of the others. So when kevin executes one, its more probable that its the one remaining.


Another way to expalin is to expand the number of the wikneys.

If we have 100 winkeys and the orange says "dont tell me who survives, just tell me 98 of the ones who will die" and then kevin starts snapping winkeys until only the orange one and the purple one remain, which scenario one seems more likely? That orange is the survivor, or that purple one is?

Plot Twist: all three pieces of paper had 'PURPLE' written on it.

Please dont mention your blue winky...

Glaggleland massacre

You sed this video is the easiest problem that nobody has ever got right but I did I knew it was orange who dies and purple lives

He’s cute I wanna watch him play with his winky

I dont understand a thing

After watching this video, I logged in just click “do not recommend.”

the problem most people get wrong with this is that they dont notice the information exchanged with the modification.
by choosing to remove the probability of your door being opened, they are removing the randomness of the opened door from affecting your door at all, so your probability stays the same, but the probability of the remaining door must be changed.
they are removing your door from the equation, then modifying the remaining doors, before adding yours back. yours stays the same, but the others are changed.

im way too young to watch this, but i somehow understand. why.

Hi7

He took purple out, but orange died… that snot fair, when he took blue blue died!

Colour color

"My winkie is talking to me" would be the weirdest thing to hear without context💀

So, after getting the explanation for the second and third experiments, I think I can see and understand why those are the odds. I'm not sure the same can be said about the first experiment though, and I'm hoping someone might be able to help me wrap my head around it. I think where I am getting stuck is why the percentages are what they are. Why are they 1/3, 1/3, 1/6, and 1/6 instead of them all being an equal 1/4? What makes the combination of Blue and Purple more likely to happen than Orange with either?

How can the thing that can not be an option, still have an effect on the system?!?!

“I am dead”
PFFFFFFFFFFFT

oh, i get it. the box version of the problem is a misunderstanding of the chance of picking that box, and picking that box when the coin you get is gold specifically.

*head get's ripped off*"NOOOOOOO KEVIN was it because i called you fat?"..........."i'm dead"

Glaggle.

I SOLVED IT BEFORE U I so smort lol

boo! I wanted orange to win!