Комментарии:
The comment on the '87 crash and saying its unlikely, while true, you missed looking at more recent events (which will be weighted more than historic) from Aug 2024 with yen carry trade fears. The nikkei is already down about 12-15% last week, and BOJ may be hard pressed to raise rates furthering unwinding of the carry trade, which will shock our markets as well.
While i see this event also unlikely unless i hear something on from Japan, this would be devestating for leveraged funds and banks that have been using this to increase bottom line profits from the interest rate differences. With many fund already having to sell and rebalance as the SPY / DJIA etc drops this will exponentially increase the rate of selling causing leveraged positions to collapse. Weekend holds on short positions (via put options not straight short selling) may be the play here as we wait.
Edit: BOJ meeting for rate changes scheduled for end of April and thought to have changes in may or june; flirting with a .75-1.0 increase; it would be devastating news if they did an emergency hike sooner.
$AMZN looking good for bounce as it showed relative strength on Friday
Ответить$XAI46B is the only alt i’m holding through the cycle. it’s giving 100x energy
Ответитьwatched your breakdown and aped in fast. this might be the cleanest setup i’ve seen all year
ОтветитьIt was obvious that the market will crash. If someone does not understand how the US is integrated into a global production, he/she just must not trade these days. And who understood and did not grab some money, well that's the biggest missed opportunity in his/her life. There was a huge banner for a whole week: SELL
ОтветитьAgree with you strategy - level to level
ОтветитьGreat overview, I'm going to apply some of these insights into my trading this week
ОтветитьThanks Ryan! I'm following your watchlists for a while now and have asked myself what your idea generation process is. Are you using a top-down approach from general market towards some individual stocks, are you using screeners or you're rather event-/news-driven and watching the market themes? By the way: would be a great video idea :) Thank you again and looking forward to your response!
ОтветитьIf the rubber band recoils Monday showing strength at the open , I will be going long SVIX / TQQQ
ОтветитьGood video 💯💯💯
ОтветитьOne word: Options.
Ответить26-29 is the bond collapse
30-35 is the super cycle
I wish they would go into more in-depth this current market situation.
ОтветитьAppreciate your wise comments. Not a day trader. Simply a long term investor who is not selling.
Ответитьthe link didnt pop up for me
Ответитьhard to buy calls or puts here due to IV
ОтветитьThe best strategy is to sacrifice the rook
ОтветитьI always cringe when traders even mention averages.
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ОтветитьI really think there is more of a market correction coming up. Getting 2008 recession vibes from the stock market right now. I am lookin at investing $40k in meta.
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ОтветитьYes trading vs investing mindset is how I got myself in trouble. Lately I've been investing (time constraints from work couldn't trade) but I still should have cut everything or bought put protection when IV was still low before last Wednesday.
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Keep an eye on the credit spreads
ОтветитьCasino stocks especially vulnerable. Discretionary spending of this nature will definitely be adversely affected given present headlines. Exercise caution and choose wisely with good risk management.
ОтветитьI agree on the view going into next week. Already banked tonight on the oversold bounce.
ОтветитьExcellent video, it is also worth noting the P/C ratio went as high as 1.3 last Friday, most of the time this is indicative of extreme bearish sentiment/ imminent reversal up
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Ответитьbasically we can go up or down... that's all you said, thanks
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